Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Assessment, Management, and Communication

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        Subject:   Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Assessment, Management, and Communication
            Date:    Wed, 10 Jul 2002 13:50:47 -0400
           From:      Stephen Tvedten <steve@getipm.com>
Organization:     Get Set Inc. (www.getipm.com)

To:     Paul Helliker <phelliker@cdpr.ca.gov>
          Director, State of California, Department of Pesticide Regulation 

cc:    Christine Whitman whitman.christine@epa.gov

The Harvard School of Public Health, Center for Continuing Professional Education proudly presents:

Probabilistic Risk Analysis: Assessment, Management, and Communication
October 1 - 4, 2002

Course Director:
Kimberly M. Thompson, ScD
Assistant Professor of Risk Analysis and Decision Science
Harvard School of Public Health

Overview:
Come to Boston in October and learn the key elements of probabilistic risk assessment, management, and communication from an outstanding faculty of nationally and internationally known experts from relevant disciplines  George Apostolakis, David Burmaster, Karl Claxton, Roger Cooke, Louis Anthony "Tony" Cox, Jr., Sharon Dunwoody, Marc Lipsitch, Louise Ryan, Kimberly Thompson, and David Vose. Combining lectures, case examples, and hands-on computer exercises, this unique program allows you to gain valuable knowledge in the classroom and computer lab. Relaxing evening dinners provide the perfect opportunity to increase your network of professional contacts as you interact with faculty and participants, and hands-on evening sessions provide opportunities to try new skills.

Who Should Attend:
This course is designed for professionals within government, industry, consulting groups, trade associations, academia, law firms, and other organizations who want to advance their knowledge of probabilistic risk analysis.

Why You Should Attend:
Understanding the basics of probabilistic risk analysis is critical to staying on the forefront in the evolving area of risk analysis, and this course offers the tools you need. Government agencies, including the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Nuclear Regulatory
Commission, Food and Drug Administration, Environmental Protection Agency, and Consumer Product Safety Commission, now use probabilistic risk analysis in the context of regulation. Numerous industries use probabilistic risk analysis in their decision-making and in determining the value of investing in research to obtain additional information.

Upon Completion of This Course You Should Be Able To:

• Critically review probabilistic risk assessments

• Distinguish variability and uncertainty, particularly in the context of risk management

• Evaluate the impacts of choices made to characterize information from data and experts

• Explore the use of Bayesian methods in risk assessments

• Communicate probabilistic risk assessment results

Course Topics Include:

• Developing probabilistic models

• A guided tour of probability distributions

• Developing distributions from data and from expert elicitation

• Value of information analysis

• Using the results of probabilistic risk assessment in risk management

• Communicating uncertain and variable risks

Participants are expected to have a working knowledge of risk analysis, and feel reasonably confident about their abilities to apply mathematical reasoning and use computers for problem solving. The website at www.pracourse.harvard.edu lists the course schedule and will provide access to post-course materials to registered participants.

Course Fee:

• $1,895 before September 1, 2002

• $1,995 after September 1, 2002

Continuing Education Units Offered:

• Council on Continuing Education, 2.5 CEUs (may be applied toward continuance of certification with the Board of Certified Safety Professionals)

• All registered participants will be awarded a certificate of completion at the end of the course, and will have access to post-course materials.

For more information: http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/ccpe/programs/APRA.shtml
To Register: http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/ccpe/programs/APRA.shtml#register

Questions? Call, fax or write:
Call 617-432-1171
Fax 617-432-1969
Write to Harvard School of Public Health
Center for Continuing Professional Education
677 Huntington Avenue
CCPE Dept. A
Boston, MA 02115-6096
Email contedu@hsph.harvard.edu

"It is error alone which needs the support of government. Truth can stand by itself." - Thomas Jefferson.  Well said Tom!  Steve

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